Professor Keith Ryden
Academic and research departments
Surrey Space Centre, School of Computer Science and Electronic Engineering.About
Biography
Professor Ryden is currently Interim Director of the Surrey Space Centre, a research unit within the School of Computer Science and Electronic Engineering. The Centre focusses on space applications, exploration and instrumentation and has a long history of building practical space instruments, experimental satellites and leading missions.
Keith’s own field of research concerns the effects of space weather and radiation on satellites, aircraft and ground systems and how to protect them. He has participated in numerous national and international projects (including with the European Space Agency and NASA) to develop and fly novel space instruments and he uses the data to improve space environment models and engineering approaches. For example, Keith’s own instrument-designs are today used on the European Space Agency ‘Galileo’ constellation and on Japanese Meteorological satellites to measure the hazardous high energy electron environment. He has strong research links with the UK Met Office and UK Ministry of Defence as well as with the space industry generally. Keith is currently a member of the UK Space Environment Impact Expert Group (SEIEG), which advises the UK Government on space weather risks. He is Chartered Engineer and Fellow of the IET.
After graduating from the University of Bath in 1986 with a First Class Honours in Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Keith joined the Royal Aerospace Establishment (RAE), Farnborough, then part of UK Ministry of Defence (MoD), to carry out research into improving the effectiveness and survivability of UK defence satellites. In parallel he completed a part-time MSc in Satellite Communications and Automatic Control Engineering at the University of Surrey, graduating with Distinction. Keith led the design, construction and launch of two 50kg research satellites (STRV1a and STRV1b) for the MoD/DoD which performed their missions successfully from 1994-1999.
Following privatisation of RAE in the late 1990s, he was appointed to the position of Technical Fellow at the successor company QinetiQ (2007) where he led a team dedicated to understanding threats to satellites and providing solutions in particular to support the UK Skynet defence communications satellite system. In 2012 he joined the Royal Academy of Engineering study team examining Extreme Space Weather which reported in 2013. Soon after that he took up a post at the University of Surrey, initially as Reader in Space Engineering.
Keith teaches a masters-level module ‘Space Environment and Protection’ at Surrey which he developed himself, and has lectured in electronic engineering courses and led the running of associated laboratories.
Areas of specialism
University roles and responsibilities
- Head of Surrey Space Centre
News
ResearchResearch interests
Space environment and protection
Spacecraft must operate in a dynamic and hostile radiation environment which can interfere with, and sometimes damage, on-board technologies and systems. For astronauts and space tourists the radiation can even be life-threatening. Furthermore, radiation from space can penetrate deep down into the Earth's atmosphere where, once again, it can present problems for airborne (and sometimes even terrestrial) electronic systems and deliver radiation doses to passengers and crew. We seek to measure, understand and quantify these effects and propose solutions to improve the reliability and safety of both spacecraft and aircraft.
We work on the following areas:
Space radiation and space weather measurements
The space environment is always changing primarily due to solar activity, which give us our local 'space weather'. In-situ measurements of space radiation are vital for determining the real hazards to satellites and aircraft on both a short term and long term (climatological) basis. We have developed novel in-situ instrumentation and flown this on numerous space missions (including collaborations with ESA, NASA and others) and we currently have a number of active monitors, including one on Giove-A operating in medium Earth orbit (20,000 km altitude).
Space radiation models
Designers of spacecraft rely on models of the space environment to form a key part of their design specifications, however these are known to contain a number of inaccuracies and simplifications. We continually test the industry standard models by comparing them to measurement data and we are also participating in the development of new improved models e.g. the European FLUMIC model for outer belt electrons.
Engineering effects of space weather
Space radiation can cause a number of effects in microelectronics including single event effects (SEE), ionising dose damage, displacement damage and electrostatic charging. As technology moves onward, previously unknown issues and problems come to light. We undertake experimental research using test facilities not just here at Surrey but also all over the world to examine the behaviour of the latest technologies and determine what protection measures are needed. We are especially interested in extreme space weather effects and are a founding member of the EU SPACESTORM programme carrying out research into such issues.
Atmospheric radiation and effects on aircraft
During strong solar storms radiation levels within the atmosphere can increase by factors of 100 or more at aviation altitudes and we aim to capture these events using our own instruments on balloons and aircraft. We participate in international programmes (e.g with NASA, UK Met Office, and various airlines) for measuring radiation (e.g. neutrons and muons) generated by particles impacting the top of our atmosphere and we study the effects of these on technological systems, especially microelectronics.
Expert advice and consultancy
We provide advice and consultancy to government committees (e.g. the Space Environment Impact Expert Group and the Cosmic Ray Advisory Group) as well as to industry such as SSTL, EDF and QinetiQ.
For more information, please contact me:k.ryden@surrey.ac.uk.
Research interests
Space environment and protection
Spacecraft must operate in a dynamic and hostile radiation environment which can interfere with, and sometimes damage, on-board technologies and systems. For astronauts and space tourists the radiation can even be life-threatening. Furthermore, radiation from space can penetrate deep down into the Earth's atmosphere where, once again, it can present problems for airborne (and sometimes even terrestrial) electronic systems and deliver radiation doses to passengers and crew. We seek to measure, understand and quantify these effects and propose solutions to improve the reliability and safety of both spacecraft and aircraft.
We work on the following areas:
Space radiation and space weather measurements
The space environment is always changing primarily due to solar activity, which give us our local 'space weather'. In-situ measurements of space radiation are vital for determining the real hazards to satellites and aircraft on both a short term and long term (climatological) basis. We have developed novel in-situ instrumentation and flown this on numerous space missions (including collaborations with ESA, NASA and others) and we currently have a number of active monitors, including one on Giove-A operating in medium Earth orbit (20,000 km altitude).
Space radiation models
Designers of spacecraft rely on models of the space environment to form a key part of their design specifications, however these are known to contain a number of inaccuracies and simplifications. We continually test the industry standard models by comparing them to measurement data and we are also participating in the development of new improved models e.g. the European FLUMIC model for outer belt electrons.
Engineering effects of space weather
Space radiation can cause a number of effects in microelectronics including single event effects (SEE), ionising dose damage, displacement damage and electrostatic charging. As technology moves onward, previously unknown issues and problems come to light. We undertake experimental research using test facilities not just here at Surrey but also all over the world to examine the behaviour of the latest technologies and determine what protection measures are needed. We are especially interested in extreme space weather effects and are a founding member of the EU SPACESTORM programme carrying out research into such issues.
Atmospheric radiation and effects on aircraft
During strong solar storms radiation levels within the atmosphere can increase by factors of 100 or more at aviation altitudes and we aim to capture these events using our own instruments on balloons and aircraft. We participate in international programmes (e.g with NASA, UK Met Office, and various airlines) for measuring radiation (e.g. neutrons and muons) generated by particles impacting the top of our atmosphere and we study the effects of these on technological systems, especially microelectronics.
Expert advice and consultancy
We provide advice and consultancy to government committees (e.g. the Space Environment Impact Expert Group and the Cosmic Ray Advisory Group) as well as to industry such as SSTL, EDF and QinetiQ.
For more information, please contact me:k.ryden@surrey.ac.uk.
Publications
The study of the solar corona has important ramifications on the understanding and forecasting of coronal mass ejections, solar flares, and solar energetic particle events that can pose a significant threat to society. Yet, regardless of scientific breakthroughs brought by space-based coronagraphs, access to the lowest layers of the Sun's atmosphere remains challenging because of vignetting and stray light effects that significantly degrade signal-to-noise ratios in these regions. An alternative approach, first proposed by Eckersley and Kemble, advocates creating artificial total eclipses in space by flying a spacecraft in the shadow of the Moon. This paper introduces the preliminary trajectory design analyses and trade-off studies of a Moon-Enabled Sun Occultation Mission (MESOM). By means of synodic resonant orbits that exists in the chaotic dynamics of the Sun-Earth-Moon system, trajectories capable of delivering on average 15 minutes per synodic month (29.6 days circa) of manoeuvre-free solar corona observations below 1.02 sun radii were identified and used as a baseline for the preliminary design of a 2+ year-long satellite mission.
Ground level enhancements (GLEs) are space weather events that pose a potential hazard to the aviation environment through single event effects in avionics and increased dose to passengers and crew. The existing ground level neutron monitoring network provides continuous and well-characterized measurements of the radiation environment. However, there are only a few dozen active stations worldwide, and there has not been a UK-based station for several decades. Much smaller neutron detectors are increasingly deployed throughout the world with the purpose of using secondary neutrons from cosmic rays to monitor local soil moisture conditions (COSMOS). Space weather signals from GLEs and Forbush decreases have been identified in COSMOS data. Monte Carlo simulations of atmospheric radiation propagation show that a single COSMOS detector is sufficient to detect the signal of a medium-strength (10%–100% increase above background) GLE at high statistical significance, including at fine temporal resolution. Use of fine temporal resolution would also provide a capability to detect Terrestrial Gamma Ray Flashes (via secondary neutrons) which are produced by certain lightning discharges and which can provide a hazard to aircraft, particularly in tropical regions. We also show how the COsmic-ray Soil Moisture Observing System-UK detector network could be used to provide warnings at the International Civil Aviation Organization “Moderate” and “Severe” dose rate thresholds at aviation altitudes, and how multiple-detector hubs situated at strategic UK locations could detect a small GLE at high statistical significance and infer crucial information on the nature of the primary spectrum.
1 hour resolution time series data from the Guildford Compact Neutron Monitor. Contains raw counts from each detector (CTS_MOD1, CTS_MOD2, CTS_UNMOD), pressure (PA), temperature (TA), and relative humidity (RH) data, and pressure-corrected counts for each detector (CTS_MOD1_CORR, CTS_MOD2_CORR, CTS_UNMOD_CORR).
The objective of the European Space Agency validation of internal charging tools using the realistic electron environmental facility (REEF) project is to assess the performance of internal charging tools against experimental measurements made at the REEF facility at the University of Surrey. REEF uses an intense strontium-90 beta-emitting radioactive source to simulate the space environment. This project is complemented by parallel experiments to derive material parameters, conducted by ONERA. We report results from REEF with four different types of dielectric material and compare these results to predictions from the DICTAT, MCICT, and NUMIT internal charging simulation tools. The materials under investigation are Cirlex, PEEK, FR4, and Neoflon (FEP). We find that in many cases, the computer codes struggle to recreate REEF results, which raises significant questions over the validity of internal charging mitigation analyses. We show the advantages and disadvantages of each model and suggest what features could be added in order to improve the fidelity of their predictions.
This paper focuses on the study of internal charging of four space used polymers: polyetheretherketone, fluorinated ethylene propylene, polyimide films, and epoxy based material (Epoxy FR4). Experiments were carried out for each material using the GEODUR facility (Toulouse, ONERA) that mimics the geostationary space environment behind shielding. Two different irradiation currents have been applied: 1 pA/cm2 and 10 pA/cm2. 1 pA/cm2 is used to analyze the charging behavior and the intrinsic electrical properties of each polymer. 10 pA/cm2 is used to study the influence of high electric field levels on their charging behavior. In this paper, two different numerical tools used for the study of internal charging are presented: Monte-Carlo Internal Charging Tool (MCICT) and Transport of Holes and Electrons Model under Irradiation in Space (THEMIS). MCICT has been used in the space community for several years. THEMIS has been recently developed at ONERA and is compared to MCICT. Both numerical tools showed consistent results for the 1 pA/cm2 integrated current but with deviations for the 10 pA/cm2 integrated current, supposedly due to nonlinear electric field effects on charge transport. THEMIS has a more refined physical model for the conductivity than MCICT. It studies more accurately the electron-polymer interactions and the charge transport kinetics of polymers under space radiations. Subsequently, the analysis of the underlying physical phenomena responsible for the polymers’ charging behaviors will be carried out with THEMIS. In addition, studying these phenomena will permit to assess the risks of electrical discharges that may occur on a spacecraft in orbit (e.g., Geostationary (GEO) spacecraft) or during an elliptic trajectory (e.g., sub-GEO) in an Electric Orbit Raising case [E. Y. Choueiri, A. J. Kelly, and R. G. Jahn, J. Spacecr. Rockets 30(6), 749–754 (1993)].
The planned Galileo global navigation system will employ an array of satellites in medium Earth orbit. Internal charging is one of the primary hazards for any spacecraft in MEO and accordingly the Galileo test spacecraft, Giove-A, carries the 'SURF' detector to undertake measurements of internal charging currents deposited at three different shielding depths (0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 mm AI). Giove-A was successfully launched on 28th December 2005 into a 23,300 km circular, 56 degree inclination orbit. In this paper we provide data on the charging currents observed in 2006, with particular emphasis on two large charging events, one in April and one in December. Comparisons are made between the flight data and predictions made using ESA's internal charging tool, DICTAT, which employs the FLUMIC 'worst case' electron belt model. The DICTAT predictions of charging current are exceeded for a few days in the 1.5mm AI shielded plate in the course of the December event. © 2007 IEEE. © 2007 IEEE.
The radiation environment of the Galileo spacecraft is severe and poorly characterized. The Galileo orbit takes the spacecraft through the heart of the outer radiation belt, while the low levels of geomagnetic shielding throughout the orbit expose the spacecraft to intermittent intense fluxes of protons during Solar Energetic Particle Events. In the Galileo constellation, two Environmental Monitoring Units (EMU) are currently flying in two different orbital planes. These units monitor the radiation environment and provide critical information related to hazards for the host spacecraft and its payload. In this work, we present results from the analysis of the surface charge collecting plates and of the proton telescope sensors. The performed numerical calibration of the EMU sensors and the application of novel unfolding and in-flight cross-calibration techniques allow the calculation of high quality proton and electron differential fluxes. The creation of a high-quality, long-term EMU electron flux dataset, is a step forward towards the improved characterization of MEO environment through the update of existing or the development of new radiation environment models.
Various SRAM and MOSFET devices were exposed to 3 MeV and 14 MeV neutrons at a fusion facility and to a fission neutron spectrum with a californium-252 source. Single event burnout (SEB) was observed in several of the MOSFETs in all three environmentsthe first time this phenomenon has been observed at neutron energies below 10 MeV. In addition to observing single event upsets (SEU) and single event latchup (SEL) in the SRAMs, two devices experienced significant multiple cell upset (MCU) effects which dominated the upset rate. The physical mechanisms underlying these phenomena and the consequences for various radiation environments are discussed. © 2011 IEEE.
Severe space weather was identified as a risk to the UK in 2010 as part of a wider review of natural hazards triggered by the societal disruption caused by the eruption of the Eyjafjallajökull volcano in April of that year. To support further risk assessment by government officials, and at their request, we developed a set of reasonable worst‐case scenarios and first published them as a technical report in 2012 (current version published in 2020). Each scenario focused on a space weather environment that could disrupt a particular national infrastructure such as electric power or satellites, thus, enabling officials to explore the resilience of that infrastructure against severe space weather through discussions with relevant experts from other parts of government and with the operators of that infrastructure. This approach also encouraged us to focus on the environmental features that are key to generating adverse impacts. In this paper, we outline the scientific evidence that we have used to develop these scenarios, and the refinements made to them as new evidence emerged. We show how these scenarios are also considered as an ensemble so that government officials can prepare for a severe space weather event, during which many or all of the different scenarios will materialize. Finally, we note that this ensemble also needs to include insights into how public behavior will play out during a severe space weather event and hence the importance of providing robust, evidence‐based information on space weather and its adverse impacts.
In preparation for deployment of the Galileo satellite navigation system, Europe has launched a test satellite, Giove-A. One of its objectives is to measure the radiation environment encountered in medium Earth orbit (MEO) which is a new regime for European missions. Giove-A therefore includes two radiation environment monitors: Merlin supplied by QinetiQ and CEDEX supplied by the University of Surrey. Merlin measures electrostatic charging and electron fluxes, total ionising dose, energetic proton fluxes and heavy ion linear energy transfer (LET) spectra. CEDEX monitors energetic proton fluxes, heavy ion linear energy transfer (LET) spectra and ionising dose rates. Giove-A, which was built by SSTL (UK), was successfully launched on 28th December 2005 into a 23,600 km circular, 56 degree inclination orbit. Data received since launch has been analysed and demonstrates that the MEO environment is highly dynamic due to the influence of space weather. Numerous electron belt enhancement events have been observed and the charging effects of these events been characterised. Total ionising dose is also seen to be delivered almost wholly during electron events.
Solar energetic particle events create radiation risks for aircraft, notably single event effects (SEEs) in microelectronics along with increased dose to crew and passengers. In response to this, some airlines modify their flight routes after automatic alerts are issued. At present these alerts are based on proton flux measurements from instruments on-board satellites, so it is important that contemporary atmospheric radiation measurements are made and compared. This paper presents the development of a rapid-response system built around the use of radiosondes equipped with a radiation detector, Zenith, which can be launched from a Met Office weather station after significant solar proton level alerts are issued. Zenith is a compact, battery-powered solid-state radiation monitor designed to be connected to a Vaisala RS-92 radiosonde which transmits all data to a ground station as it ascends to an altitude of ~33 km. Zenith can also be operated as a stand-alone detector when connected to a laptop, providing real-time count rates. It can also be adapted for use on unmanned aerial vehicles. Zenith has been flown on the Met Office Civil Contingency Aircraft (MOCCA), taken to the CERN-EU high energy Reference Field (CERF) facility for calibration and launched on a meteorological balloon at the Met Office's weather station in Camborne, Cornwall, UK. During this sounding, Zenith measured the Pfotzer-Regener maximum to be at an altitude of 18 - 20 km where the count rate was measured to be 1.15 counts s-1 cm-2 compared to 0.02 counts s-1 cm-2 at ground level.
We present data from the sister instruments Merlin and cosmic radiation environment dosimetry and charging experiment (CREDANCE), from medium Earth orbit (MEO) and the slot region, respectively. Each instrument measures internal charging current, proton and ion flux, and total ionizing dose with an identical suite of instruments. In this article, we present charging current and proton flux data. Merlin flew on board the Giove-A MEO testbed spacecraft from December 2005 to November 2021. CREDANCE flew on board the Demonstration and Science Experiments (DSX) spacecraft from July 2019 to May 2021.
High-energy trapped electrons in the Van Allen belts pose a threat to the survivability of orbiting spacecraft. Two key radiation effects are total ionizing dose and displacement damage dose in components and materials, both of which cause cumulative and largely irreversible damage. During an extreme space weather event, trapped electron fl uxes in the Van Allen belts can increase by several orders of magnitude in intensity, leading to an enhanced risk of satellite failure. We use extreme environments generated by modeling and statistical analyses to estimate the consequences for satellites in terms of the radiation effects described above. A worst-case event could lead to signi fi cant losses in power generating capability — up to almost 8% — and cause up to four years ’ worth of ionizing dose degradation, leading to component damage and a life-shortening effect on satellites. The consequences of such losses are hugely signi fi cant given our increasing reliance on satellites for a vast array of services, including communication, navigation, defense, and critical infrastructure.
Historically, gathering data on atmospheric radiation levels during solar particle events (SPEs) has been difficult, as there is little or no time warning of events. Being able to accurately quantify radiation levels within the atmosphere during solar events is of significance to the aviation industry, as described in the International Civil Aviation Organization's (ICAO) Space Weather manual, particularly during a large Ground Level Enhancement (GLE) where the ionising dose to passengers and crew can exceed the recommended general public annual dose limits, set by the International Commission for Radiological Protection (ICRP) Barlett, Beck, Bilski, Bottollier‐Depois, and Lindborg (2004), in one flight. The Smart Atmospheric Ionising RAdiation (SAIRA) Monitoring Network is a new system of handheld radiation detectors that can be carried on aircraft to monitor and record atmospheric radiation levels. The system operates via citizen science volunteers, who record radiation data as they travel for normal purposes. Over 30 flights have been conducted with volunteers to demonstrate that a citizen science network is possible. Volunteers have used a new Android application to record and upload data to a central server to form a database of flight measurements. The demonstration has shown there is a willingness in public volunteers to use radiation detectors and engage in science outreach. A fully developed system will ideally provide the capability to quantify radiation levels during a Solar Particle Event (SPE) or GLE and the data can be used by relevant organisations to minimise potential risks.
The objectives, instrumentation, methods and data leading up to launch of the NASA Living With a Star (LWS) Space Environment Testbed (SET) payload onboard the Air Force Research Laboratory Demonstration and Science Experiments (DSX) spacecraft are described. The experiments characterize the space radiation environment and how it affects hardware performance. The payload consists of a compact space weather instrument and a carrier containing four board experiments.
Relativistic electrons can penetrate spacecraft shielding and can damage satellite components. Spacecraft in medium Earth orbit pass through the heart of the outer radiation belt and may be exposed to large fluxes of relativistic electrons, particularly during extreme space weather events. In this study we perform an extreme value analysis of the daily average internal charging currents at three different shielding depths in medium Earth orbit as a function of L∗ and along the orbit path. We use data from the SURF instrument on board the European Space Agency's Giove-A spacecraft from December 2005 to January 2016. The top, middle, and bottom plates of this instrument respond to electrons with energies >500 keV, >700 keV, and >1.1 MeV, respectively. The 1 in 10 year daily average top plate current decreases with increasing L∗ ranging from 1.0 pA cm−2 at L∗=4.75 to 0.03 pA cm−2 at L∗=7.0. The 1 in 100 year daily average top plate current is a factor of 1.2 to 1.8 larger than the corresponding 1 in 10 year current. The 1 in 10 year daily average middle and bottom plate currents also decrease with increasing L∗ ranging from 0.4 pA cm−2 at L∗=4.75 to 0.01 pA cm−2 at L∗=7.0. The 1 in 100 year daily average middle and bottom plate currents are a factor of 1.2 to 2.7 larger than the corresponding 1 in 10 year currents. Averaged along the orbit path the 1 in 10 year daily average top, middle, and bottom plate currents are 0.22, 0.094, and 0.094 pA cm−2, respectively.
Data from ground-level radiation monitors and cosmogenic nuclides are combined to a give a probability distribution for severe radiation events related to the well quantified event of 23 February 1956. Particle fluxes, single event effects rates and dose rates are calculated for ground-level and aerospace systems. The event of February 1956 would provide a challenge to air safety while more extreme events seen in historical records would challenge safety-critical ground systems. A new space weather hazard scale based on this event could be used to give rapid assessment of the radiation hazard using high latitude neutron monitor data.
MoonLITE is a proposed, UK led lunar science mission involving 4 scientific penetrators that will make in situ measurements at widely separated locations on the Moon. MoonLITE will create the first global lunar network with nodes near and far-side, and in permanently shaded crater(s). With such a network MoonLITE will be able to determine much about the interior of the Moon, including characterisation of its core. Penetrator(s) at the poles will seek and characterise frozen volatiles, possibly of cometary origin and of great importance both to human exploration and to astrobiology. MoonLITE penetrators will reach the Moon at ~300 m/s and so must be able to stand the forces associated with this impact. As part of a programme aimed to establish reliable penetrator technologies the first full-scale impact trials have been conducted and are described here.
The UK’s Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl) is partnering with the US Naval Research Laboratory (NRL) on a joint mission to launch miniature sensors that will advance space weather measurement and modelling capabilities. The Coordinated Ionospheric Reconstruction Cubesat Experiment (CIRCE) comprises two 6U cube-satellites that will be launched into a near-polar low earth orbit (LEO), targeting 500 km altitude, in 2021. The UK contribution to CIRCE is the In situ and Remote Ionospheric Sensing (IRIS) suite, complementary to NRL sensors, and comprising three highly miniaturised payloads provided to Dstl by University College London (UCL), University of Bath, and University of Surrey/Surrey Satellite Technology Ltd (SSTL). One IRIS suite will be flown on each satellite, and incorporates an ion/neutral mass spectrometer, a tri-band global positioning system (GPS) receiver for ionospheric remote sensing, and a radiation environment monitor. From the US, NRL have provided two 1U Triple Tiny Ionospheric Photometers (Tri-TIPs) on each satellite (Nicholas et al., 2019), observing the ultraviolet 135.6 nm emission of atomic oxygen at night-time to characterize the two-dimensional distribution of electrons.
We report initial results from the EU FP7 Spaces- torm project on the experimental behavior of commonly-used space dielectric materials in an electron environment where the incident electron current is significantly below safe levels specified by design standards. The realistic electron environment facility (REEF), which uses an intense strontium-90 beta-emitting radioactive source to simulate the space environment, has been recommissioned at the University of Surrey for this purpose. Using a combination of shielding and variable source-sample separation REEF can achieve a very wide dynamic range in electron current, from the very high levels associated with an extreme space weather event, down to the levels below the Euro13 pean Cooperation for Space Standardization low temperature (
Internal charging caused by energetic electrons is a recognized threat to critical space infrastructure such as navigation and communication satellites. In this paper the electric field developed inside selected on-board dielectrics over a 10-year period in a GPS-like orbit is modelled using actual charging currents measured directly in orbit. The charging currents provide both charge deposition and dose rate inputs to the model, the latter allowing the introduction of radiation induced conductivity (RIC) to improve realism. As expected we find that RIC is a mitigating factor for the electric fields but they can still become very large e.g. a 1.0 mm thickness of PEEK under 0.5mm of Al shielding would be at risk of breakdown almost throughout the mission. We also find that RIC tends to reduce sensitivity to space weather perturbations of the environment such as the April 2010 storm event. This seems physically reasonable but we also know that some satellite anomalies do correlate quite well with space weather and short term (daily) electron fluence increases. We recommend that correlation of anomaly data sets with electric field models of this type is undertaken in future: this will require accurate materials parameters and also needs to take account of sudden depletion of the electric field due to discharges. In addition more charging current sensors with greater shielding levels (>2mm Al equivalent) should be flown to allow modeling of a wider range of realistic cases, including inside well-shielded electronic boxes.
Satellite charging is one of the most important risks for satellites on orbit. Satellite charging can lead to an electrostatic discharge resulting in component damage, phantom commands, and loss of service and in exceptional cases total satellite loss. Here we construct a realistic worst case for a fast solar wind stream event lasting 5 days or more and use a physical model to calculate the maximum electron flux greater than 2 MeV for geostationary orbit. We find that the flux tends toward a value of 106 cm−2·s−1·sr−1 after 5 days and remains high for another 5 days. The resulting flux is comparable to a 1 in 150‐year event found from an independent statistical analysis of electron data. Approximately 2.5 mm of Al shielding would be required to reduce the internal charging current to below the National Aeronautics and Space Administration‐recommended guidelines, much more than is currently used. Thus, we would expect many satellites to report electrostatic discharge anomalies during such an event with a strong likelihood of service outage and total satellite loss. We conclude that satellites at geostationary orbit are more likely to be at risk from fast solar wind stream event than a Carrington‐type storm.
Significant increases to the atmospheric radiation environment are recorded by a network of ground level neutron monitors as ground level enhancements (GLEs). These space weather phenomena pose a risk to aviation via single event effects in aircraft electronics and ionizing dose to passengers and crew. Under the UK Space Weather Instrumentation, Measurement, Modeling and Risk programme, we have developed a new model to provide nowcasts of the aviation radiation environment, including both the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) background and during GLE events. The Model for Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Effects (MAIRE+) uses multiple data sources to characterize primary GCR and GLE particle spectra and combines these with precalculated geomagnetic and atmospheric response matrices to predict particle fluxes from ground level to 20 km altitude across the entire globe. Two European neutron monitors (located at Oulu in Finland and Dourbes in Belgium) are used as the primary indicators of GLE intensity in order to maximize accuracy over UK airspace. Outputs from MAIRE+ for the historical GLEs in September and October 1989 are compared to recalibrated empirical data from a solid‐state detector that was carried on Concorde in that period. The model will be hosted in the UK and will provide additional capability to the Met Office Space Weather Operations Center (MOSWOC). Plain Language Summary Ionizing radiation in the atmosphere is primarily caused by galactic cosmic rays (GCR) interacting with the upper atmosphere, creating showers of secondary radiation. At aviation altitudes the radiation environment is hundreds of times more intense than that experienced at the ground level. This relatively stable background level of radiation is punctuated by space weather events called ground level enhancements (GLEs), when energetic solar protons arrive at Earth and lead to elevated atmospheric radiation levels that can be orders of magnitude greater than background levels. Under the UK Space Weather Instrumentation, Measurement, Modeling and Risk programme, we have developed a new model to provide nowcasts of the aviation radiation environment, including both the GCR background and during GLE events. Through our Model for Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Effects, we show how data from ground level neutron monitors can be used to characterize the atmospheric radiation environment from ground level to 20 km altitude across the entire globe. Key Points The new Model for Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Effects (MAIRE+) is presented MAIRE+ uses neutron monitor data, sunspot number, Kp, and geostationary proton flux to nowcast the aviation radiation environment Model outputs are compared to data from a solid‐state detector carried on board Concorde during ground level enhancements in 1989
Electron environment specification models have been developed to assess long term effects (e.g. doses) as well as short term effects (e.g. internal charging) for navigation orbiting spacecraft design. © 2009 IEEE.
•MAIRE and CARI-7 modelling of cosmic radiation doses for Very High Altitude ‘Near Space’ Tourism observation balloon flights, and Space Weather enhancements.•Comparison of SAIRA radiation detector flight data and modelled Very High Altitude ‘Near Space’ Tourism flights.•Radiation risk assessment of Very High Altitude flights for a number of launch locations to a maximum flight altitude of 30 km (100,000 ft). Within the next decade it is likely that the space tourism industry will grow dramatically and the number of humans travelling into, and beyond, the stratosphere via commercial entities such as World View and Space Perspective will increase. Current space tourism ventures focus on long duration very high altitude balloon flights; also known as ‘near space’ flights, sub-orbital flights and visits to Low Earth Orbit (LEO). In the next few decades space tourism is ultimately likely to become routine. During these new commercial ventures the effects of cosmic radiation exposure, especially during sudden changes in space weather, such as ground level enhancement (GLE) events, could have significant health implications for crew and passengers. The risks from these rapid changes in space weather and potential radiation exposure during flights is not currently fully understood or even acknowledged. Legislation and regulation for such enterprises is also in its infancy with little or no guidance for commercial entities or potential passengers. Initial work at the University of Surrey has focused on very high altitude ‘near space’ balloon flights. World-wide launch locations for flights have been modelled using MAIRE and CARI-7 computer programs. Flight routes have been monitored, for current commercial and higher flight levels, using the Smart Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation (SAIRA) detector. The modelled flight profiles have been compared with detector data, up to a maximum flight altitude of 30 km (100,000 ft), with varying space weather conditions, from norms to extreme events, to assess the radiation risk presented by potential exposure. Plain Language Summary: An assessment of the risks and potential radiation exposure from flying to ‘near space’ within newly designed observation balloons at very high altitude in the upper atmosphere above the Earth. Looking at the impact of radiation from the sun and sources outside the solar system, and critically when these conditions vary which could result in high levels of exposure.
The upper atmosphere is a transition region between the neutron-dominated aviation environment and satellite environment where primary protons and ions dominate. We report high altitude balloon measurements and model results characterising this radiation environment for single event effects (SEE) in avionics. Our data, from the RaySure solid-state radiation monitor, reveal markedly different altitude profiles for low linear energy transfer (LET) and high LET energy depositions. We use models to show that the difference is caused by the influence of primary cosmic ray particles, which induce counts in RaySure via both direct and indirect ionization. Using the new Model of Atmospheric Ionizing Radiation Effects (MAIRE), we use particle fluxes and LET spectra to calculate single event upset (SEU) rates as a function of altitude from ground level to the edge of space at 100 km altitude. The results have implications for a variety of applications including high altitude space tourism flights, UAVs and missions to the Martian surface.
During neutron irradiation of 4-Mb SRAMs, large-scale multiple cell upsets (MCUs) were observed. These were observed in 90-nm devices at accelerated test facilities providing fission, fusion, and spallation neutron environments. The MCUs are shown to manifest themselves in 2-D patterns encompassing scores of cells, which, even with bit interleaving, lead to uncorrectable multiple bit upsets (MBU) in the same word. The mechanism behind the MCU appears to be micro-latching within blocks of the memory array that are powered up sequentially during the read cycle of the device. © 1963-2012 IEEE.
Eight commercially available n-channel power MOSFETs were exposed to high energy spallation neutrons and thermal neutrons in separate experiments. Single event burnout (SEB) was observed in several of the devices in both environments. Measurements of SEB at derated drain-source voltages show very strong reductions in burnout cross-sections, but suggest that current recommendations for safe operation of devices may need updating for high voltage devices. In one device a different failure mode was observed, with subsequent investigations suggesting that single event gate rupture (SEGR) was responsible. This first observation of SEGR in accelerated neutron testing of power MOSFETs represents a new consideration for designers of high voltage control systems. © 2011 IEEE.
We take an initial look at hard single-event effects (SEEs) in power electronics and static random access memories (SRAMs) during space weather-induced extreme ground-level enhancement (GLE) events. We show that there is a significant risk of failure of silicon power metal–oxide–semiconductor field-effect transistors (MOSFETs) and insulated gate bipolar transistors (IGBTs) at ground level during a 10× February ’56 GLE. If the devices are not derated, then we find that 21% of power MOSFETs and 14% of IGBTs are, in the worst case, predicted to fail. The probability of failure increases to 68% and 52% during a once-in-a-10 000-year GLE for power MOSFETs and IGBTs, respectively. Silicon carbide devices show a lower failure rate by more than an order of magnitude, where only 2.8% are predicted to fail during a once-in-a-10 000-year GLE. It is clear that these events could disrupt critical infrastructure if mitigating precautions are not implemented.
The radiation monitors on board the Galileo Giove-A satellite, CEDEX and Merlin, and their data are presented. The instruments include energetic proton and ion detectors, an internal charging monitor, RADFETs and experimental dose-rate photodiodes. A comparison of the data with existing monitors and models is presented.
We use electron flux derived from the environment monitoring unit “(EMU)-SURF” current monitor on board a Galileo Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) constellation satellite to modify and update the model of outer belt electrons for dielectric internal charging (MOBE-DIC). We describe how this data set, together with data from similar current-measuring instruments on Van Allen Probes, Giove-A, and STRV1d, are used to improve and expand the model. We have extended the spatial range to include the inner belt, exploited EMU data to widen the energy range for the electron spectrum, updated the statistical analysis of flux variation using a data set double the size used for the original model, and established a new and independent latitude function that yields improved agreement in medium earth orbit compared to the original model. The model is entirely characterized by a set of equations and parameters that produce fluxes as a function of magnetic coordinates at three distinct statistical levels.
The Giove-A spacecraft carries two radiation monitors, CEDEX, built by the University of Surrey and Merlin, built by QinetiQ, to study the radiation environment encountered in the Galileo orbit. The two monitors have been functioning since the beginning of the mission and have measured protons, heavy ions and electrons. The electron environment has been found to be highly variable and driven by solar interactions. Comparisons with AE-8 indicate that the electron energy spectrum for the period measured was somewhat harder than that expected from the model. A series of large Solar proton events were detected in December 2006, registering as enhanced fluxes of protons, heavy ions and also triggering a large enhancement in the outer electron belt. Comparisons with POLE and INTEGRAL/IREM show an improved spectral match over AE-8.
New radiation monitors based on solid-state detectors have been developed to perform wide-ranging measurements of the atmospheric environment and provide warnings of sudden increases during solar particle events. Results have been obtained during the current deep solar minimum across the full range of latitudes and from sea level to 13 km altitude. Results for ambient dose equivalent agree very closely with Tissue Equivalent Proportional Counters carried on the same flights. Values of 10 μSv/hr are being reached at 12 km altitude and high latitude. Comparisons are made with the QinetiQ Atmospheric Radiation Model and the need to include cosmic-ray heavy ions is demonstrated. © 2009 IEEE.
The NASA Radiation Dosimetry Experiment (RaD-X) successfully deployed four radiation detectors on a high altitude balloon for a period of approximately twenty hours. One of these detectors was the RaySure in-flight monitor, which is a solid-state instrument designed to measure ionizing dose rates to air crew and passengers. Data from RaySure on RaD-X show absorbed dose rates rising steadily as a function of altitude up to a peak at approximately 60,000 feet, known as the Pfotzer-Regener maximum. Above this altitude absorbed dose rates level off before showing a small decline as the RaD-X balloon approaches its maximum altitude of around 125,000 feet. The picture for biological dose equivalent, however, is very different. At high altitudes the fraction of dose from highly ionizing particles increases significantly. Dose from these particles causes a disproportionate amount of biological damage compared to dose from more lightly ionizing particles and this is reflected in the quality factors used to calculate the dose equivalent quantity. By calculating dose equivalent from RaySure data, using coefficients derived from previous calibrations, we show that there is no peak in the dose equivalent rate at the Pfotzer-Regener maximum. Instead the dose equivalent rate keeps increasing with altitude as the influence of dose from primary cosmic rays becomes increasingly important. This result has implications for high altitude aviation, space tourism and, due to its thinner atmosphere, the surface radiation environment on Mars
In 1998, the first Polar route test flight between Asia and North America was carried out. By the end of 2009, over 10,000 Polar flights will have taken place. However, as cross polar traffic continues to increase, the aviation industry is realising the impacts that space weather has on high-altitude, high-latitude, flights (>50N) and polar operations (>78N). Effects include disruption in High Frequency (HF) communications, satellite navigation system errors, and radiation hazards to humans and avionics. These concerns not only apply to current operations, but become even more important at all latitudes when considered within the framework for the Next Generation Air Transportation System (NextGen), an interagency initiative to transform the U.S. air transportation system by 2025. The AMS/SolarMetrics report, Integrating Space Weather Observations and Forecasts into Aviation Operations (published March 2007), offers recommendations to increase the safety, reliability, and efficiency of aviation operations through more effective use of space weather information. This report highlighted several policy issues that need to be addressed to ensure the best use of current and future space weather information, namely: . Communication of space weather information . Standardization of information and regulations . Education and training . Cost benefit and risk analysis SolarMetrics is working with the airline and space transportation industries to identify and develop new integrated space weather services that will meet their demands for real-time operational decision tools and products. This poster will present some of the operational issues raised above and how they are being tackled.
Abstract The NASA Radiation Dosimetry Experiment (RaD-X) stratospheric balloon flight mission obtained measurements for improving the understanding of cosmic radiation transport in the atmosphere and human exposure to this ionizing radiation field in the aircraft environment. The value of dosimetric measurements from the balloon platform is that they can be used to characterize cosmic ray primaries, the ultimate source of aviation radiation exposure. In addition, radiation detectors were flown to assess their potential application to long-term, continuous monitoring of the aircraft radiation environment. The RaD-X balloon was successfully launched from Fort Sumner, New Mexico (34.5°N, 104.2°W) on 25 September 2015. Over 18 hours of flight data were obtained from each of the four different science instruments at altitudes above 20 km. The RaD-X balloon flight was supplemented by contemporaneous aircraft measurements. Flight-averaged dosimetric quantities are reported at seven altitudes to provide benchmark measurements for improving aviation radiation models. The altitude range of the flight data extends from commercial aircraft altitudes to above the Pfotzer maximum where the dosimetric quantities are influenced by cosmic ray primaries. The RaD-X balloon flight observed an absence of the Pfotzer maximum in the measurements of dose equivalent rate.