Dramatic reduction in serious road accidents linked to spring DST transition

The research found a dramatic 15-20% reduction in serious road accidents during the days close to the Spring DST transition. This reduction is driven by fewer accidents occurring between 6 pm and 9 pm because drivers had an hour more of sunlight.  

 Analogously, the team also found that leaving DST in the Autumn increases minor road accidents by 13%. This is mainly due to more minor accidents happening during the evening hours between 3 pm and 6 pm when an hour of sunlight is reallocated back to the morning.  These findings support the hypothesis that drivers are more sensitive to road lighting conditions rather than to the possible sleep deprivation brought about by the artificial DST clock changes.   

Dr Giuseppe Moscelli, Associate Professor in Economics and co-author of the study from the University of Surrey, said: 

"Our analysis suggests that changes in road accidents are not influenced by factors such as fuel prices or road usage but by lighting conditions. It begs the question of whether improving artificial lighting conditions in accident hotspots could improve outcomes for drivers." 

The research draws on data from road accident reports in Greece, between 2006 and 2016. The reports are often completed by police officers inspecting crashes and include information on the date, time, location, accident type, and severity (fatal, serious, or minor). 

The study also conducted an economic analysis of the financial cost of these accidents during seasonal clock changes using insurance claims data from the Hellenic Association of Insurance Companies.  

Dr Giuseppe Moscelli explained:  

"Not transitioning back to Standard Time in the Autumn and keeping that extra hour of sunlight appears to not only be a lifesaver, but cost-effective for the taxpayer. Abolishing DST could lead to cost savings of approximately €7.5 million per year during the Spring transition because of the decrease in serious accidents during the additional evening daylight hour provided by DST." 

The research has been published in Health Economics. 

### 

• Dr Moscelli is available for interview upon request.  

• For more information please contact the University of Surrey's press office via mediarelations@surrey.ac.uk